BizarroMath™ Sports Analysis System | FAQ | The Numbers | Last Updated: 02:00 on Sunday, November 17, 2024

Middle Tennessee 2024 Season Summary

Team Logo

National Average Data

Category 2023 Raw 2024 Raw 2024 Blended (Δ)
Points Per Game (PPG) 26.70 26.67 26.67 (+0.00)
Yards Per Game (YPG) 379.93 377.37 377.37 (+0.00)
Yards Per Play (YPP) 5.70 5.72 5.72 (+0.00)

Middle Tennessee 2024 - Unit Statistics

Offense

Category 2023 Raw 2023 Opp Adj'd (Δ) 2024 Raw 2024 Opp Adj'd (Δ) 2024 Blended (Δ)
Points Scored per Game (PPG): 23.27 26.93 (+3.66) 15.56 13.37 (-2.19) 13.37 (+0.00)
Yards Gained per Game (YPG): 375.73 343.99 (-31.74) 337.67 319.00 (-18.67) 319.00 (+0.00)
Yards Gained per Play (YPP): 5.49 5.36 (-0.13) 5.64 5.58 (-0.06) 5.58 (+0.00)

Defense

Category 2023 Raw 2023 Opp Adj'd (Δ) 2024 Raw 2024 Opp Adj'd (Δ) 2024 Blended (Δ)
Points Yielded per Game (PPG): 29.36 29.00 (-0.36) 35.00 34.88 (-0.12) 34.88 (+0.00)
Yards Yielded per Game (YPG): 391.45 413.41 (+21.95) 468.11 477.59 (+9.48) 477.59 (+0.00)
Yards Yielded per Play (YPP): 5.53 5.58 (+0.05) 6.79 7.08 (+0.29) 7.08 (+0.00)

Intangibles

Category Measure(s)
Home Field Advantage +3.6

Schedule Analysis

Date Opponent BizMa Points For BizMa Points Against BizMa Spread BizMa O/U BizMa Win % Real Outcome Team Record
2024-08-31 Tennessee Tech Non-FBS Opponent W 32-25 1-0
2024-09-07 @Ole Miss 4.54 52.36 +47.83 56.90 0.10% L 3-52 1-1
2024-09-14 Western Kentucky 15.63 32.75 +17.12 48.38 22.54% L 21-49 1-2
2024-09-21 Duke 15.92 35.78 +19.86 51.71 18.15% L 17-45 1-3
2024-09-28 @Memphis 14.05 42.90 +28.86 56.95 3.72% L 7-24 1-4
2024-10-11 @Louisiana Tech 11.66 23.59 +11.93 35.25 30.87% L 21-48 1-5
2024-10-16 Kennesaw State 24.63 25.29 +0.66 49.92 48.93% W 14-5 2-5
2024-10-23 @Jacksonville State 19.48 44.97 +25.49 64.45 9.12% L 20-42 2-6
2024-11-02 @UTEP 20.68 27.04 +6.37 47.72 39.79% W 20-13 3-6
2024-11-09 Liberty 16.15 25.42 +9.27 41.57 35.12% L 17-37 3-7
2024-11-23 New Mexico State 27.02 23.25 -3.76 50.27 56.04% n/a n/a
2024-11-30 @Florida International 11.87 28.71 +16.84 40.58 23.00% n/a n/a

Season Analysis

Record Probability Ceiling Floor
3-9 33.75% 0.00% 100.00%
4-8 53.21% 33.75% 66.25%
5-7 13.04% 86.96% 13.04%

Expected Wins Analysis

Record Probability
0-12 0.00%
1-11 2.52%
2-10 12.59%
3-9 25.36%
4-8 28.55%
5-7 19.79%
6-6 8.38%
7-5 2.35%
8-4 0.43%
9-3 0.04%
10-2 0.00%