BizarroMath™ Sports Analysis System |
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Last Updated: 02:00 on Sunday, October 13, 2024
Middle Tennessee 2024 Season Summary
National Average Data
| Category
| 2023 Raw
| 2024 Raw
| 2024 Blended (Δ)
|
| Points Per Game (PPG) |
26.70 |
26.64 |
26.66 (+0.02) |
| Yards Per Game (YPG) |
379.93 |
374.92 |
376.36 (+1.44) |
| Yards Per Play (YPP) |
5.70 |
5.77 |
5.75 (-0.02) |
Middle Tennessee 2024 - Unit Statistics
Offense
| Category
| 2023 Raw
| 2023 Opp Adj'd (Δ)
| 2024 Raw
| 2024 Opp Adj'd (Δ)
| 2024 Blended (Δ)
|
|---|
| Points Scored per Game (PPG): |
23.27 |
26.93 (+3.66) |
13.80 |
14.91 (+1.11) |
19.42 (+4.51) |
| Yards Gained per Game (YPG): |
375.73 |
343.99 (-31.74) |
348.20 |
361.75 (+13.55) |
355.09 (-6.66) |
| Yards Gained per Play (YPP): |
5.49 |
5.36 (-0.13) |
5.91 |
6.42 (+0.52) |
6.03 (-0.40) |
Defense
| Category
| 2023 Raw
| 2023 Opp Adj'd (Δ)
| 2024 Raw
| 2024 Opp Adj'd (Δ)
| 2024 Blended (Δ)
|
|---|
| Points Yielded per Game (PPG): |
29.36 |
29.00 (-0.36) |
43.60 |
45.42 (+1.82) |
39.26 (-6.16) |
| Yards Yielded per Game (YPG): |
391.45 |
413.41 (+21.95) |
519.60 |
512.27 (-7.33) |
475.19 (-37.07) |
| Yards Yielded per Play (YPP): |
5.53 |
5.58 (+0.05) |
7.54 |
7.80 (+0.26) |
6.97 (-0.83) |
Intangibles
| Category
| Measure(s)
|
| Home Field Advantage
| +3.6 |
Schedule Analysis
| Date
| Opponent
| BizMa Points For
| BizMa Points Against
| BizMa Spread
| BizMa O/U
| BizMa Win %
| Real Outcome
| Team Record
|
| 2024-08-31 |
Tennessee Tech |
Non-FBS Opponent |
W 32-25 |
1-0 |
| 2024-09-07 |
@Ole Miss |
7.27 |
55.80 |
+48.52 |
63.07 |
0.10% |
L 3-52 |
1-1 |
| 2024-09-14 |
Western Kentucky |
26.07 |
38.05 |
+11.98 |
64.12 |
30.78% |
L 21-49 |
1-2 |
| 2024-09-21 |
Duke |
16.90 |
41.33 |
+24.43 |
58.23 |
10.82% |
L 17-45 |
1-3 |
| 2024-09-28 |
@Memphis |
17.64 |
45.37 |
+27.73 |
63.02 |
5.52% |
L 7-24 |
1-4 |
| 2024-10-11 |
@Louisiana Tech |
25.48 |
33.31 |
+7.84 |
58.79 |
37.43% |
L 21-48 |
1-5 |
| 2024-10-16 |
Kennesaw State |
35.85 |
24.36 |
-11.49 |
60.20 |
68.43% |
n/a |
n/a |
| 2024-10-23 |
@Jacksonville State |
25.94 |
46.65 |
+20.70 |
72.59 |
16.80% |
n/a |
n/a |
| 2024-11-02 |
@UTEP |
26.22 |
28.71 |
+2.49 |
54.93 |
46.00% |
n/a |
n/a |
| 2024-11-09 |
Liberty |
22.08 |
39.76 |
+17.68 |
61.84 |
21.64% |
n/a |
n/a |
| 2024-11-23 |
New Mexico State |
27.86 |
25.77 |
-2.09 |
53.62 |
53.35% |
n/a |
n/a |
| 2024-11-30 |
@Florida International |
22.28 |
36.93 |
+14.66 |
59.21 |
26.49% |
n/a |
n/a |
Season Analysis
| Record
| Probability
| Ceiling
| Floor
|
| 1-11 |
3.76% |
0.00% |
100.00% |
| 2-10 |
19.00% |
3.76% |
96.24% |
| 3-9 |
34.62% |
22.76% |
77.24% |
| 4-8 |
28.33% |
57.38% |
42.62% |
| 5-7 |
11.86% |
85.71% |
14.29% |
| 6-6 |
2.28% |
97.57% |
2.43% |
| 7-5 |
0.15% |
99.85% |
0.15% |
Expected Wins Analysis
| Record
| Probability
|
| 0-12 |
0.00% |
| 1-11 |
1.38% |
| 2-10 |
8.59% |
| 3-9 |
21.63% |
| 4-8 |
29.19% |
| 5-7 |
23.06% |
| 6-6 |
11.73% |
| 7-5 |
3.68% |
| 8-4 |
0.67% |
| 9-3 |
0.07% |
| 10-2 |
0.01% |
| 11-1 |
0.00% |